IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1 (July, 2000)
World - B1 MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	5262	6117	6888	7617	8182	8531	8704	8667	8463	8125	7658	7056
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	20.9	26.8	36.2	52.1	73.1	100.7	135.6	171.6	208.5	249.8	290.0	328.4
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			26	33	45	62	82	108	140	172	204	242	281	319
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		38	27	22	16	10	8	6	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		42	52	61	59	55	39	23	18	9	3	2	1
	Liquids		111	123	155	185	214	239	243	220	190	153	131	114
	Gas		41	47	61	71	74	73	63	53	47	45	39	31
	Electricity		35	44	61	87	117	148	172	194	204	213	209	200
	Others		8	10	18	33	52	75	98	123	136	144	138	124
	Total		275	303	379	450	522	581	604	608	585	556	520	469
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		91	91	109	110	97	71	37	21	15	16	18	22
	Oil		128	155	172	189	203	198	192	161	132	95	64	46
	Gas		71	84	119	161	221	278	297	302	281	267	232	215
	Nuclear		7	8	11	15	20	27	36	42	47	48	46	41
	Biomass		46	45	55	70	89	111	121	129	150	174	215	235
	Other Renewables		8	13	23	41	62	103	156	211	239	248	239	197
	Total		352	395	488	586	692	788	837	865	865	848	813	755
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.9	1.8	2.9	4.0	5.0	5.7	6.1	6.3	6.4	6.6	6.8
	Oil		0.0	1.4	3.0	4.7	6.6	8.6	10.6	12.5	14.1	15.4	16.4	17.0
	Gas		0.0	0.7	1.6	2.8	4.4	6.6	9.4	12.3	15.3	18.2	20.8	23.2
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	75.3	160.4	251.5	343.6	436.2	525.3	606.8	679.2	741.9	794.0	837.4
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM B1 emulation run
	Cropland		1459	1466	1464	1461	1458	1452	1447	1442	1437	1433	1431	1429
	Grasslands		3389	3407	3432	3453	3474	3510	3547	3591	3635	3668	3688	3709
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	59	137	196	254	260	266	261	243	225
	Forest		4296	4255	4231	4264	4335	4405	4475	4522	4570	4619	4669	4719
	Others		3805	3820	3822	3711	3545	3386	3226	3133	3040	2968	2918	2868
	Total		12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	5.99	6.90	8.26	9.19	9.93	9.91	9.24	8.36	7.32	6.36	5.24	4.68	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	1.11	1.07	0.79	-0.03	-0.65	-0.66	-0.67	-0.62	-0.57	-0.57	-0.61	-0.65	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
	Total CO2	GtC	7.10	7.97	9.05	9.16	9.27	9.25	8.57	7.74	6.75	5.79	4.63	4.04
	CH4 total	MtCH4	310	323	356	386	421	442	453	436	424	392	334	279	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	6.7	7.0	6.0	5.8	5.7	5.6	5.6	5.5	5.4	5.4	5.4	5.3	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
	SOx total	MtS	70.9	69.0	65.6	55.2	47.5	38.7	31.0	25.4	20.2	16.5	13.9	12.2
	CFC/HFC/HCFC	MtC eq.	1672	883	784	291	257	298	338	337	333	327	315	299
	PFC	MtC eq.	32	25	29	32	33	37	42	47	45	43	46	45
	SF6	MtC eq.	38	40	36	37	47	58	68	71	62	46	43	43
	CO	MtCO	879	877	1001	1120	1233	1326	1331	1268	1288	1307	1409	1436
	NMVOC	Mt	139	141	164	180	183	180	175	154	141	121	93	70
	NOx	MtN	31	32	38	44	47	46	40	33	27	23	20	17
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
OECD90 - B1 MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	859	919	965	1007	1043	1069	1081	1084	1089	1098	1108	1110
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	16.4	20.6	26.0	32.4	38.3	43.9	49.9	55.4	59.8	66.3	73.9	82.3
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			14	18	22	28	33	38	44	48	53	58	65	73
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		13	10	6	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Liquids		66	69	75	73	69	65	61	57	52	44	42	39
	Gas		22	28	34	35	33	29	21	14	10	9	7	5
	Electricity		22	28	35	43	49	53	54	56	57	60	61	62
	Others		1	1	2	5	7	8	9	12	13	13	12	11
	Total		124	136	152	159	159	154	146	139	131	126	123	117
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		38	33	36	37	31	14	5	4	2	1	1	0
	Oil		72	85	83	73	62	53	44	36	29	21	15	12
	Gas		33	45	57	68	80	87	84	75	73	77	76	78
	Nuclear		6	7	8	10	11	14	21	25	27	24	20	15
	Biomass		6	8	10	13	15	18	20	26	31	39	50	53
	Other Renewables		4	5	8	13	17	22	24	27	29	31	32	32
	Total		159	183	202	213	215	207	198	192	191	192	193	190
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.4	0.7	1.1	1.4	1.7	1.9	1.9	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0
	Oil		0.0	0.8	1.6	2.5	3.2	3.8	4.3	4.8	5.1	5.4	5.6	5.8
	Gas		0.0	0.4	0.8	1.4	2.0	2.9	3.7	4.5	5.3	6.0	6.8	7.6
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	30.1	62.7	95.5	126.4	153.6	176.1	195.1	211.9	227.1	240.7	253.0
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM B1 emulation run
	Cropland		381	380	378	376	374	370	366	361	357	354	353	352
	Grasslands		760	765	772	779	787	809	832	862	893	912	918	924
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	10	23	33	44	45	46	45	42	39
	Forest		1050	1059	1074	1094	1117	1133	1149	1154	1159	1167	1179	1192
	Others		838	826	805	770	728	684	639	607	574	551	537	522
	Total		3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	2.83	3.20	3.40	3.35	3.13	2.60	2.16	1.84	1.63	1.50	1.35	1.31	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	0.00	0.00	-0.07	-0.13	-0.16	-0.14	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.12	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
	Total CO2	GtC	2.83	3.20	3.32	3.22	2.97	2.46	2.04	1.76	1.58	1.46	1.27	1.19
	CH4 total	MtCH4	73	74	73	70	67	62	57	54	52	51	50	51	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	2.6	2.6	2.4	2.4	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.2	2.2	2.1	2.1	2.1	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
	SOx total	MtS	22.7	17.0	8.9	2.3	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.5
	HFC	MtC eq.	19	58	108	103	109	112	116	117	117	119	120	120
	PFC	MtC eq.	18	13	12	10	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	6
	SF6	MtC eq.	24	23	16	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	8	8
	CO	MtCO	179	161	177	181	160	145	125	123	121	122	139	134
	NMVOC	Mt	42	36	38	36	31	27	23	21	21	20	14	9
	NOx	MtN	13	12	14	14	13	10	7	5	3	2	1	1
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
REF - B1 MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	413	419	427	433	435	433	423	409	392	374	357	339
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	1.1	0.8	1.1	1.7	2.8	4.3	6.2	8.2	10.3	12.8	15.3	18.1
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			3	2	3	3	4	5	6	8	10	13	15	18
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		9	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Liquids		15	10	10	13	15	17	18	16	13	10	9	8
	Gas		14	10	11	10	9	8	6	4	4	4	3	2
	Electricity		6	5	6	7	9	12	14	15	15	15	15	15
	Others		7	6	6	7	9	9	9	10	10	10	9	7
	Total		50	36	37	40	43	46	47	45	41	39	35	32
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		19	12	9	6	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	2
	Oil		20	14	13	15	17	16	16	15	11	9	6	5
	Gas		27	21	25	28	33	40	43	49	53	48	40	31
	Nuclear		1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1
	Biomass		2	1	1	1	2	3	3	3	3	3	6	9
	Other Renewables		1	1	1	3	4	5	6	6	6	7	9	10
	Total		70	51	49	53	59	67	70	74	74	69	63	57
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.6
	Oil		0.0	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.8	0.9	1.1	1.3	1.4	1.5	1.5
	Gas		0.0	0.3	0.5	0.7	1.0	1.3	1.8	2.3	2.8	3.4	4.0	4.4
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	11.0	20.0	28.2	35.6	42.9	50.0	57.4	65.7	73.7	80.4	85.5
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM B1 emulation run
	Cropland		268	266	266	266	265	265	264	264	263	263	263	262
	Grasslands		341	362	364	366	368	370	372	374	376	378	380	382
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	9	20	29	37	38	39	38	35	33
	Forest		966	951	934	933	934	954	973	983	993	1005	1018	1031
	Others		701	696	711	702	688	659	630	617	604	592	580	568
	Total		2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	1.30	0.91	0.85	0.85	0.87	0.92	0.97	1.03	1.02	0.90	0.73	0.56	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	0.00	0.00	0.04	-0.11	-0.12	-0.20	-0.28	-0.23	-0.17	-0.15	-0.14	-0.14	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
	Total CO2	GtC	1.30	0.91	0.89	0.73	0.75	0.72	0.69	0.81	0.85	0.75	0.59	0.42
	CH4 total	MtCH4	47	39	40	40	41	43	43	39	37	33	30	26	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
	SOx total	MtS	17.0	11.0	7.1	4.6	3.0	2.0	1.5	1.4	1.3	1.4	1.5	1.6
	HFC	MtC eq.	0	4	9	15	20	24	26	27	27	27	27	26
	PFC	MtC eq.	7	4	6	6	7	8	9	10	9	8	8	8
	SF6	MtC eq.	8	6	4	7	7	8	9	9	7	6	4	4
	CO	MtCO	69	41	45	46	51	60	65	60	50	38	34	30
	NMVOC	Mt	16	13	15	17	20	23	27	29	31	28	21	14
	NOx	MtN	5	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	3	2	1	1
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
ASIA - B1 MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	2798	3261	3620	3937	4147	4238	4220	4085	3867	3589	3258	2882
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	1.5	2.7	4.8	8.7	15.1	24.9	37.9	51.4	64.8	78.7	91.7	103.1
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			5	8	12	17	25	34	46	57	68	79	92	103
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		24	16	12	8	5	3	2	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		19	33	47	48	46	32	19	14	6	2	1	0
	Liquids		13	22	35	50	65	82	87	78	68	55	45	38
	Gas		2	3	7	11	11	14	11	10	10	10	10	10
	Electricity		4	6	11	19	30	42	49	57	60	64	63	58
	Others		1	2	6	11	18	27	34	45	49	52	50	45
	Total		62	82	117	146	175	199	202	204	193	182	170	150
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		30	42	57	58	51	44	24	13	8	8	9	10
	Oil		15	26	38	52	66	68	72	61	52	37	25	17
	Gas		3	5	13	24	36	51	53	53	50	46	34	27
	Nuclear		0	1	1	3	5	9	11	13	14	17	17	17
	Biomass		24	22	26	30	39	49	54	61	63	67	72	73
	Other Renewables		1	3	6	12	20	35	54	77	83	85	87	74
	Total		74	98	141	178	217	256	268	278	270	260	244	218
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.3	0.7	1.3	1.9	2.4	2.8	3.1	3.2	3.3	3.4	3.5
	Oil		0.0	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.3	2.0	2.7	3.4	4.0	4.5	4.9	5.1
	Gas		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	1.3	1.8	2.2	2.6	3.0	3.3
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	17.8	41.7	69.7	99.4	131.0	161.6	187.6	208.6	225.6	238.9	249.5
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM B1 emulation run
	Cropland		438	435	435	435	434	434	434	434	433	433	433	433
	Grasslands		608	606	609	612	614	617	619	622	625	628	631	634
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	12	28	40	52	54	55	54	50	46
	Forest		535	525	518	535	551	557	563	578	593	604	610	616
	Others		583	598	602	571	536	516	496	477	458	446	441	436
	Total		2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	1.15	1.78	2.56	3.01	3.27	3.33	2.93	2.41	2.06	1.69	1.29	1.06	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	0.37	0.26	0.20	-0.17	-0.18	-0.10	-0.03	-0.10	-0.17	-0.18	-0.14	-0.10	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
	Total CO2	GtC	1.53	2.03	2.75	2.84	3.09	3.23	2.90	2.31	1.89	1.51	1.15	0.96
	CH4 total	MtCH4	113	125	145	164	183	196	201	194	189	172	141	109	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	2.3	2.6	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
	SOx total	MtS	17.7	25.3	31.8	29.9	26.3	19.3	13.1	9.3	6.7	4.4	3.1	2.1
	HFC	MtC eq.	0	4	11	20	34	56	93	90	85	79	72	64
	PFC	MtC eq.	3	5	7	9	11	14	17	20	18	18	18	18
	SF6	MtC eq.	4	7	11	17	23	27	30	32	26	19	16	16
	CO	MtCO	235	270	345	421	511	597	632	621	603	587	583	559
	NMVOC	Mt	33	37	48	56	58	59	57	46	40	32	25	20
	NOx	MtN	7	9	12	14	16	17	15	12	10	8	7	6
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
ALM - B1 MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	1192	1519	1875	2241	2557	2791	2980	3089	3115	3064	2934	2727
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	1.9	2.7	4.4	9.3	17.0	27.6	41.6	56.7	73.6	92.0	109.1	124.8
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			4	5	8	13	20	31	44	58	74	92	109	125
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		14	11	11	8	6	4	3	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		1	4	5	6	7	7	4	4	3	1	1	1
	Liquids		17	22	34	48	64	75	77	69	57	44	35	29
	Gas		4	6	10	15	22	22	25	25	23	22	18	14
	Electricity		3	5	9	17	29	42	54	66	72	74	70	65
	Others		0	1	5	10	18	32	46	56	65	69	67	61
	Total		39	49	73	105	145	182	210	220	219	209	192	170
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		5	4	8	10	12	10	6	3	4	6	7	9
	Oil		21	30	39	49	59	62	59	50	40	29	18	12
	Gas		8	12	24	42	73	100	116	125	106	96	81	79
	Nuclear		0	0	1	2	4	4	4	4	6	6	7	8
	Biomass		14	14	18	25	33	42	44	39	54	65	88	101
	Other Renewables		2	4	7	13	22	42	72	100	121	125	111	81
	Total		49	65	96	141	201	259	301	321	330	327	313	290
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.7
	Oil		0.0	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.4	2.0	2.6	3.2	3.7	4.1	4.4	4.6
	Gas		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.6	2.6	3.8	5.0	6.1	7.0	7.8
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	16.4	35.9	58.1	82.3	108.7	137.6	166.6	193.0	215.5	234.0	249.4
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM B1 emulation run
	Cropland		371	385	385	385	384	384	383	383	383	383	382	382
	Grasslands		1680	1675	1686	1696	1705	1714	1723	1732	1741	1750	1760	1769
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	29	66	93	121	124	127	124	116	107
	Forest		1745	1720	1704	1702	1732	1761	1790	1808	1825	1843	1862	1880
	Others		1684	1700	1704	1669	1593	1527	1461	1432	1403	1379	1361	1342
	Total		5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	0.72	1.01	1.46	1.98	2.66	3.05	3.18	3.08	2.61	2.27	1.86	1.75	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	0.73	0.82	0.62	0.38	-0.19	-0.22	-0.25	-0.22	-0.19	-0.20	-0.24	-0.29	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
	Total CO2	GtC	1.45	1.83	2.08	2.36	2.46	2.83	2.94	2.86	2.43	2.07	1.62	1.46
	CH4 total	MtCH4	77	85	98	112	130	141	151	149	146	135	114	93	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	1.2	1.3	0.7	0.6	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
	SOx total	MtS	10.5	12.8	14.8	15.4	14.8	13.8	12.9	11.1	8.9	7.1	5.4	4.1
	HFC	MtC eq.	0	2	16	28	42	64	98	102	102	101	96	89
	PFC	MtC eq.	4	4	5	6	7	8	9	11	11	11	12	12
	SF6	MtC eq.	2	5	5	8	12	17	22	24	21	14	14	14
	CO	MtCO	396	404	434	472	510	523	509	465	513	559	654	714
	NMVOC	Mt	48	55	63	70	74	71	68	58	50	42	33	27
	NOx	MtN	7	8	10	12	14	15	14	12	11	11	10	9
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data