IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1 (July, 2000)
World - A1T MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	5262	6117	6888	7617	8182	8531	8704	8667	8463	8125	7658	7056
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	20.9	26.8	36.8	57.0	91.3	135.4	187.1	254.1	322.9	393.2	469.6	550.0
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			26	33	46	67	99	139	186	247	313	382	457	535
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		38	25	20	16	10	7	5	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		42	60	66	71	72	46	31	27	22	15	2	1
	Liquids		111	125	157	193	246	300	344	357	354	346	343	311
	Gas		41	48	66	83	107	135	155	180	177	159	132	100
	Electricity		35	48	66	100	153	209	275	349	424	483	534	589
	Others		8	12	18	33	48	61	83	108	138	179	220	268
	Total		275	317	393	495	634	757	893	1020	1115	1182	1231	1270
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		91	106	125	151	180	153	119	87	60	53	40	25
	Oil		128	155	172	193	223	241	250	236	205	143	113	77
	Gas		71	87	124	166	231	288	324	344	324	291	240	196
	Nuclear		7	8	11	17	40	78	115	145	175	175	153	114
	Biomass		46	46	55	75	104	137	183	235	280	324	353	370
	Other Renewables		8	15	25	48	73	122	222	358	544	756	985	1239
	Total		352	416	513	649	850	1018	1213	1407	1588	1743	1884	2021
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.9	2.0	3.2	4.7	6.5	8.1	9.3	10.1	10.7	11.3	11.7
	Oil		0.0	1.4	3.0	4.7	6.6	8.9	11.3	13.8	16.1	18.2	19.6	20.8
	Gas		0.0	0.8	1.6	2.9	4.5	6.8	9.7	13.0	16.4	19.6	22.6	25.0
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	75.3	162.1	260.3	373.4	498.6	623.1	741.3	847.6	937.0	1008.4	1061.3
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM A1 marker run
	Cropland		1459	1466	1462	1457	1454	1448	1442	1436	1429	1424	1422	1420
	Grasslands		3389	3404	3429	3446	3458	3478	3498	3525	3552	3568	3572	3576
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	74	158	288	418	492	566	581	538	495
	Forest		4296	4237	4173	4164	4164	4177	4190	4194	4199	4202	4203	4204
	Others		3805	3842	3886	3807	3715	3558	3400	3301	3203	3173	3213	3253
	Total		12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	5.99	6.90	8.33	10.00	12.26	12.60	12.29	11.41	9.91	8.05	6.27	4.31	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	1.11	1.07	1.04	0.26	0.12	0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1T run)
	Total CO2	GtC	7.10	7.97	9.38	10.26	12.38	12.65	12.26	11.38	9.87	8.02	6.26	4.32
	CH4 total	MtCH4	310	323	362	415	483	495	500	459	404	359	317	274	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	6.7	7.0	6.1	6.1	6.2	6.2	6.1	6.0	5.7	5.6	5.5	5.4	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1T run
	SOx total	MtS	70.9	69.0	64.7	59.9	59.6	46.6	40.2	34.4	30.1	25.2	23.3	20.2
	CFC/HFC/HCFC	MtC eq.	1672	883	791	337	369	482	566	654	659	654	639	614
	PFC	MtC eq.	32	25	31	43	61	77	89	97	106	114	119	115
	SF6	MtC eq.	38	40	43	48	66	99	119	127	113	88	84	95
	CO	MtCO	879	877	1003	1147	1362	1555	1770	1944	2078	2164	2156	2077
	NMVOC	Mt	139	141	164	190	212	229	241	242	229	199	167	128
	NOx	MtN	31	32	39	46	56	60	61	60	52	43	35	28
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
OECD90 - A1T MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	859	919	965	1007	1043	1069	1081	1084	1089	1098	1108	1110
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	16.4	20.6	25.6	31.6	38.7	46.8	55.7	65.7	77.2	90.8	106.6	124.3
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			14	18	22	27	34	41	49	57	68	80	94	109
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		13	13	6	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Liquids		66	69	74	73	72	70	66	65	62	61	60	55
	Gas		22	28	33	34	35	35	32	27	21	19	15	12
	Electricity		22	29	36	44	55	65	74	83	95	104	112	118
	Others		1	1	3	6	7	10	13	17	22	29	38	48
	Total		124	139	152	160	171	180	185	193	201	212	225	233
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		38	36	36	32	25	11	4	3	2	1	1	1
	Oil		72	83	81	72	63	55	46	39	30	23	20	14
	Gas		33	45	57	70	79	78	76	66	59	56	45	34
	Nuclear		6	7	8	10	22	43	56	64	67	58	45	28
	Biomass		6	9	11	17	21	24	31	37	41	45	52	55
	Other Renewables		4	6	10	15	20	27	44	65	98	143	194	245
	Total		159	186	202	214	230	238	257	275	297	325	356	377
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.4	0.7	1.1	1.4	1.7	1.7	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.8
	Oil		0.0	0.8	1.6	2.4	3.1	3.8	4.3	4.8	5.2	5.5	5.7	5.9
	Gas		0.0	0.4	0.8	1.4	2.1	2.9	3.6	4.4	5.0	5.6	6.2	6.6
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	30.1	62.9	95.6	126.4	153.0	174.5	192.9	208.6	221.9	233.0	241.2
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM A1 marker run
	Cropland		381	380	377	376	375	372	368	364	359	356	356	355
	Grasslands		760	763	771	774	776	787	797	818	839	849	847	846
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	11	24	44	63	74	86	88	81	75
	Forest		1050	1053	1052	1053	1056	1062	1068	1061	1054	1050	1049	1048
	Others		838	833	828	814	798	765	733	712	691	685	695	705
	Total		3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	2.83	3.20	3.31	3.18	2.96	2.38	2.00	1.71	1.38	1.17	0.95	0.66	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	0.05	0.06	0.04	0.01	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1T run)
	Total CO2	GtC	2.83	3.20	3.35	3.20	2.96	2.35	1.96	1.72	1.43	1.24	0.98	0.67
	CH4 total	MtCH4	73	74	71	68	66	60	56	52	48	47	45	43	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	2.6	2.6	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.1	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1T run
	SOx total	MtS	22.7	17.0	8.3	2.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.8	1.3	1.9	2.3
	HFC	MtC eq.	19	58	110	108	115	118	122	123	123	124	125	125
	PFC	MtC eq.	18	13	13	11	9	8	9	10	12	13	14	16
	SF6	MtC eq.	23	23	14	5	6	7	9	11	13	16	18	20
	CO	MtCO	179	161	183	190	184	186	202	210	206	206	208	190
	NMVOC	Mt	42	36	38	38	33	30	27	26	23	20	16	10
	NOx	MtN	13	12	14	13	13	11	9	7	6	5	4	2
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
REF - A1T MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	413	419	427	433	435	433	423	409	392	374	357	339
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	1.1	0.8	1.0	2.1	5.4	9.4	12.6	16.2	20.0	24.4	29.2	34.4
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			3	2	3	4	6	9	13	16	20	24	29	34
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		9	5	4	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Liquids		15	11	10	12	14	14	12	13	13	14	16	17
	Gas		14	11	14	17	22	26	27	26	23	19	13	9
	Electricity		6	6	7	10	14	20	23	26	28	32	34	34
	Others		7	6	6	9	13	13	12	12	11	11	12	13
	Total		50	38	41	51	65	72	73	76	76	76	75	73
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		19	14	11	13	17	16	11	4	2	1	8	8
	Oil		20	15	13	14	15	14	12	12	8	6	5	3
	Gas		27	23	29	32	40	44	50	63	72	70	46	31
	Nuclear		1	1	1	1	4	9	10	9	5	3	3	2
	Biomass		2	1	1	1	3	4	7	10	12	14	16	19
	Other Renewables		1	1	2	4	6	7	12	14	19	26	42	52
	Total		70	54	56	65	84	95	101	112	117	120	119	116
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.7	0.9	1.0	1.1	1.1	1.1	1.2
	Oil		0.0	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.8	0.9	1.0	1.1	1.2	1.3	1.3
	Gas		0.0	0.3	0.5	0.8	1.1	1.5	1.9	2.4	3.1	3.8	4.5	5.0
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	11.0	20.9	31.3	42.4	54.4	65.2	75.7	86.7	97.4	106.8	114.1
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM A1 marker run
	Cropland		268	266	265	265	265	264	263	262	262	261	260	260
	Grasslands		341	361	364	366	367	368	370	371	371	372	373	374
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	3	6	11	16	19	22	23	21	20
	Forest		966	950	918	904	894	899	905	909	912	916	922	927
	Others		701	698	728	738	745	733	722	715	709	703	700	696
	Total		2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	1.30	0.91	0.88	1.00	1.22	1.24	1.16	1.20	1.20	1.11	0.91	0.66	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	0.00	0.00	0.18	0.01	0.00	-0.08	-0.15	-0.12	-0.09	-0.07	-0.06	-0.05	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1T run)
	Total CO2	GtC	1.30	0.91	1.06	1.01	1.22	1.17	1.01	1.09	1.11	1.03	0.84	0.61
	CH4 total	MtCH4	47	39	42	49	58	58	54	52	48	43	36	30	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1T run
	SOx total	MtS	17.0	11.0	7.5	4.9	5.2	4.5	4.1	1.8	1.2	0.7	3.0	3.1
	HFC	MtC eq.	0	4	8	19	29	31	32	33	33	34	33	31
	PFC	MtC eq.	7	4	5	8	14	20	21	22	23	24	25	24
	SF6	MtC eq.	8	6	8	10	14	18	21	19	15	14	10	11
	CO	MtCO	69	41	49	61	82	98	112	121	118	105	90	75
	NMVOC	Mt	16	13	16	20	25	31	34	39	37	33	30	26
	NOx	MtN	5	3	3	4	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	2
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
ASIA - A1T MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	2798	3261	3620	3937	4147	4238	4220	4085	3867	3589	3258	2882
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	1.5	2.7	5.8	13.5	27.2	44.9	65.3	95.8	126.9	155.5	186.5	218.2
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			5	8	13	23	36	52	70	97	127	155	187	218
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		24	15	11	8	4	3	2	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		19	38	51	60	63	38	24	21	21	13	1	0
	Liquids		13	22	38	56	86	120	152	157	156	149	142	131
	Gas		2	3	8	14	22	40	54	73	77	72	62	45
	Electricity		4	8	15	30	51	70	98	128	160	183	201	222
	Others		1	3	5	11	15	18	25	35	46	59	74	89
	Total		62	88	128	178	241	289	356	414	459	476	479	486
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		30	51	71	96	122	102	79	57	39	40	26	12
	Oil		15	26	39	55	76	91	102	95	90	60	45	31
	Gas		3	5	14	28	48	74	98	108	101	88	81	68
	Nuclear		0	1	2	4	8	15	27	43	65	74	65	48
	Biomass		24	23	27	33	44	59	83	108	123	132	132	142
	Other Renewables		1	3	6	15	26	44	79	130	191	261	343	435
	Total		74	108	160	231	323	385	467	540	609	655	692	736
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.3	0.8	1.6	2.5	3.7	4.8	5.6	6.1	6.5	6.9	7.2
	Oil		0.0	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.4	2.1	3.1	4.1	5.0	5.9	6.5	7.0
	Gas		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.7	2.7	3.8	4.8	5.7	6.5
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	17.8	42.7	76.3	120.8	173.1	225.8	275.0	317.9	353.7	381.9	401.6
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM A1 marker run
	Cropland		438	435	434	433	432	431	431	430	429	428	428	428
	Grasslands		608	606	609	611	613	615	617	618	619	621	622	624
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	17	37	68	99	117	134	138	127	117
	Forest		535	522	512	524	535	535	535	544	552	556	555	555
	Others		583	601	609	579	547	515	483	456	429	421	431	441
	Total		2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	1.15	1.78	2.73	3.90	5.26	5.36	5.19	4.65	4.06	3.29	2.47	1.52	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	0.37	0.26	0.22	-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1T run)
	Total CO2	GtC	1.53	2.03	2.95	3.77	5.14	5.32	5.22	4.62	3.97	3.19	2.43	1.53
	CH4 total	MtCH4	113	125	152	185	225	226	227	200	167	147	130	110	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	2.3	2.6	2.4	2.4	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.4	2.3	2.3	2.2	2.2	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1T run
	SOx total	MtS	17.7	25.3	32.3	35.4	35.8	22.8	16.3	13.4	11.6	8.8	6.6	5.1
	HFC	MtC eq.	0	5	18	45	92	153	224	292	292	285	275	262
	PFC	MtC eq.	3	5	8	15	23	30	35	39	43	46	48	46
	SF6	MtC eq.	4	7	12	19	28	42	50	55	48	35	33	37
	CO	MtCO	235	270	340	422	564	663	784	853	896	914	866	777
	NMVOC	Mt	33	37	47	58	70	75	82	82	83	76	63	41
	NOx	MtN	7	9	12	17	23	26	28	26	22	18	15	12
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
ALM - A1T MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	1192	1519	1875	2241	2557	2791	2980	3089	3115	3064	2934	2727
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	1.9	2.7	4.4	9.8	20.0	34.3	53.5	76.5	98.7	122.5	147.2	173.1
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			4	5	8	13	23	37	55	76	99	122	147	173
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		14	10	9	8	5	4	3	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		1	4	5	5	6	8	7	6	2	1	1	1
	Liquids		17	24	35	52	75	97	114	122	123	122	125	109
	Gas		4	6	11	18	27	35	43	54	56	49	42	36
	Electricity		3	5	9	17	33	54	81	111	140	165	188	215
	Others		0	2	4	7	12	21	33	44	59	80	96	118
	Total		39	52	73	106	157	217	279	336	379	418	452	478
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		5	5	8	10	16	24	26	24	18	12	5	4
	Oil		21	31	40	53	69	81	90	89	77	54	43	28
	Gas		8	14	23	37	65	91	101	107	92	78	69	63
	Nuclear		0	0	1	2	6	12	23	30	38	40	40	35
	Biomass		14	13	17	24	36	50	62	81	104	134	153	153
	Other Renewables		2	4	8	14	21	44	87	150	236	326	406	508
	Total		49	68	96	139	213	301	389	480	565	644	717	791
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.7	0.9	1.2	1.4	1.4	1.5
	Oil		0.0	0.3	0.6	1.0	1.5	2.2	3.0	3.9	4.8	5.6	6.1	6.5
	Gas		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	1.5	2.4	3.4	4.5	5.4	6.2	6.8
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	16.4	35.6	57.1	83.8	118.2	157.6	197.8	234.3	263.9	286.7	304.3
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM A1 marker run
	Cropland		371	385	384	383	382	381	381	380	379	379	378	378
	Grasslands		1680	1673	1685	1695	1702	1708	1714	1718	1722	1726	1730	1733
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	42	90	165	240	282	324	333	308	284
	Forest		1745	1711	1690	1683	1680	1681	1682	1681	1680	1678	1676	1674
	Others		1684	1710	1720	1676	1625	1544	1463	1419	1374	1364	1387	1411
	Total		5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	0.72	1.01	1.41	1.92	2.82	3.62	3.94	3.84	3.26	2.48	1.94	1.48	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	0.73	0.82	0.60	0.36	0.25	0.19	0.14	0.12	0.10	0.08	0.06	0.03	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1T run)
	Total CO2	GtC	1.45	1.83	2.01	2.28	3.07	3.81	4.07	3.96	3.36	2.56	2.00	1.51
	CH4 total	MtCH4	77	85	98	114	133	150	162	155	141	123	105	90	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	1.2	1.3	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.5	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1T run
	SOx total	MtS	10.5	12.8	13.7	14.6	15.0	15.7	16.8	15.7	13.5	11.3	8.8	6.8
	HFC	MtC eq.	0	2	15	39	81	139	184	205	210	210	206	196
	PFC	MtC eq.	4	4	5	9	14	19	23	26	28	30	31	30
	SF6	MtC eq.	3	5	10	14	19	32	40	42	37	23	24	26
	CO	MtCO	396	404	431	474	533	608	671	760	858	938	992	1035
	NMVOC	Mt	48	55	63	74	83	92	98	95	87	69	58	50
	NOx	MtN	7	8	10	12	15	18	20	21	19	15	13	12
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data