IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1 (July, 2000)
World - A1C MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	5262	6117	6888	7617	8182	8531	8704	8667	8463	8125	7658	7056
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	20.9	26.8	36.8	57.0	91.3	135.4	187.1	254.1	322.9	393.2	469.6	550.0
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			26	33	46	67	99	139	186	247	313	382	457	535
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		38	27	19	16	10	7	5	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		42	56	72	82	89	79	72	68	60	55	44	26
	Liquids		111	126	158	200	265	353	461	569	641	672	704	685
	Gas		41	47	61	76	95	106	110	118	116	119	104	93
	Electricity		35	46	62	93	145	209	292	395	493	588	668	726
	Others		8	11	20	34	53	70	89	118	143	164	187	213
	Total		275	313	393	501	656	824	1031	1268	1453	1599	1706	1743
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		91	112	146	194	261	353	463	601	750	872	985	1062
	Oil		128	155	172	190	210	209	209	202	170	112	78	56
	Gas		71	80	107	149	207	247	283	297	254	207	144	118
	Nuclear		7	8	11	21	41	79	127	191	265	348	415	432
	Biomass		46	44	52	68	95	133	178	228	287	330	359	376
	Other Renewables		8	13	23	37	57	82	117	166	205	234	258	281
	Total		352	411	511	659	870	1102	1377	1685	1931	2103	2239	2325
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	1.0	2.1	3.5	5.5	8.1	11.6	16.2	22.3	29.8	38.5	48.4
	Oil		0.0	1.4	3.0	4.7	6.6	8.7	10.8	12.9	14.9	16.6	17.7	18.5
	Gas		0.0	0.7	1.5	2.6	4.1	6.2	8.6	11.5	14.4	17.0	19.0	20.5
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	75.3	163.4	267.8	394.8	551.4	740.3	965.7	1224.8	1506.6	1805.6	2119.9
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM A1 marker run
	Cropland		1459	1466	1462	1457	1454	1448	1442	1436	1429	1424	1422	1420
	Grasslands		3389	3404	3429	3446	3458	3478	3498	3525	3552	3568	3572	3576
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	74	158	288	418	492	566	581	538	495
	Forest		4296	4237	4173	4164	4164	4177	4190	4194	4199	4202	4203	4204
	Others		3805	3842	3886	3807	3715	3558	3400	3301	3203	3173	3213	3253
	Total		12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	5.99	6.90	8.61	10.97	14.04	17.11	20.64	24.50	27.37	29.05	30.79	32.07	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	1.11	1.07	1.04	0.26	0.12	0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
	Total CO2	GtC	7.10	7.97	9.65	11.23	14.17	17.16	20.62	24.47	27.33	29.03	30.78	32.07
	CH4 total	MtCH4	310	323	365	427	505	552	606	628	639	652	662	672	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	6.7	7.0	6.1	6.1	6.2	6.3	6.3	6.3	6.2	6.2	6.2	6.2	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	SOx total	MtS	70.9	69.0	77.3	102.4	121.0	126.0	120.2	106.2	97.9	79.6	67.0	49.8
	CFC/HFC/HCFC	MtC eq.	1672	883	791	337	369	482	566	654	659	654	639	614
	PFC	MtC eq.	32	25	31	43	61	77	89	97	106	114	119	115
	SF6	MtC eq.	38	40	43	48	66	99	119	127	113	88	84	95
	CO	MtCO	879	877	1005	1165	1415	1805	2277	2758	3217	3547	3772	3766
	NMVOC	Mt	139	141	166	194	221	259	310	359	393	408	405	373
	NOx	MtN	31	32	39	48	62	77	94	111	124	134	142	151
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
OECD90 - A1C MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	859	919	965	1007	1043	1069	1081	1084	1089	1098	1108	1110
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	16.4	20.6	25.6	31.6	38.7	46.8	55.7	65.7	77.2	90.8	106.6	124.3
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			14	18	22	27	34	41	49	57	68	80	94	109
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		13	11	7	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Liquids		66	70	74	74	75	80	87	93	100	98	102	102
	Gas		22	28	34	35	39	37	34	29	30	27	21	15
	Electricity		22	29	36	44	53	61	75	90	106	124	141	158
	Others		1	1	4	8	11	18	24	30	34	37	42	47
	Total		124	138	155	164	181	197	220	242	269	285	306	322
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		38	46	57	69	80	91	97	102	125	144	183	223
	Oil		72	83	81	72	60	46	39	34	29	20	15	12
	Gas		33	41	50	60	70	69	75	75	83	75	59	37
	Nuclear		6	7	8	10	13	27	41	56	59	64	65	60
	Biomass		6	7	6	7	10	14	20	25	28	33	39	44
	Other Renewables		4	5	9	12	15	19	26	37	44	48	54	58
	Total		159	188	211	228	249	267	299	329	368	383	414	435
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.4	0.9	1.4	2.1	2.9	3.8	4.9	6.2	7.8	9.6	11.9
	Oil		0.0	0.8	1.6	2.4	3.1	3.7	4.2	4.6	4.9	5.2	5.4	5.6
	Gas		0.0	0.3	0.8	1.3	1.9	2.6	3.3	4.0	4.8	5.6	6.4	7.0
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	30.1	64.2	101.4	140.8	181.2	222.2	265.1	312.9	365.9	424.5	490.6
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM A1 marker run
	Cropland		381	380	377	376	375	372	368	364	359	356	356	355
	Grasslands		760	763	771	774	776	787	797	818	839	849	847	846
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	11	24	44	63	74	86	88	81	75
	Forest		1050	1053	1052	1053	1056	1062	1068	1061	1054	1050	1049	1048
	Others		838	833	828	814	798	765	733	712	691	685	695	705
	Total		3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	2.83	3.20	3.57	3.82	4.05	4.04	4.22	4.41	5.10	5.39	6.23	6.94	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	0.05	0.06	0.04	0.01	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
	Total CO2	GtC	2.83	3.20	3.61	3.83	4.05	4.02	4.18	4.41	5.15	5.45	6.27	6.95
	CH4 total	MtCH4	73	74	74	76	80	85	92	101	114	126	147	164	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	2.6	2.6	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	SOx total	MtS	22.7	17.0	14.9	22.7	25.3	20.2	14.0	7.0	8.2	2.1	3.9	5.6
	HFC	MtC eq.	19	58	110	108	115	118	122	123	123	124	125	125
	PFC	MtC eq.	18	13	13	11	9	8	9	10	12	13	14	16
	SF6	MtC eq.	23	23	14	5	6	7	9	11	13	16	18	20
	CO	MtCO	179	161	173	167	162	188	220	241	266	267	271	281
	NMVOC	Mt	42	36	38	36	33	34	35	38	44	43	39	35
	NOx	MtN	13	12	14	15	15	15	16	16	20	22	25	28
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
REF - A1C MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	413	419	427	433	435	433	423	409	392	374	357	339
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	1.1	0.8	1.0	2.1	5.4	9.4	12.6	16.2	20.0	24.4	29.2	34.4
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			3	2	3	4	6	9	13	16	20	24	29	34
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		9	5	3	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Liquids		15	10	11	15	19	23	25	25	27	32	34	32
	Gas		14	10	12	16	19	19	18	20	16	10	4	4
	Electricity		6	5	6	8	14	19	23	27	32	37	42	45
	Others		7	6	6	8	11	11	13	15	16	15	18	18
	Total		50	36	38	48	65	73	80	87	91	95	98	98
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		19	13	13	15	21	26	31	37	49	70	104	146
	Oil		20	14	13	15	17	19	19	12	9	6	5	4
	Gas		27	21	22	30	41	45	47	62	61	48	19	12
	Nuclear		1	1	1	1	1	2	5	6	7	7	8	8
	Biomass		2	1	1	1	3	4	6	7	10	14	15	19
	Other Renewables		1	1	2	3	5	6	8	10	13	15	17	19
	Total		70	51	51	65	87	101	115	134	149	161	168	208
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.8	1.1	1.4	1.9	2.6	3.6	4.9
	Oil		0.0	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.8	1.0	1.2	1.3	1.4	1.5	1.5
	Gas		0.0	0.3	0.5	0.7	1.0	1.4	1.9	2.3	3.0	3.6	4.1	4.3
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	11.0	21.0	32.0	45.0	60.5	77.5	96.7	119.3	145.5	175.8	214.1
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM A1 marker run
	Cropland		268	266	265	265	265	264	263	262	262	261	260	260
	Grasslands		341	361	364	366	367	368	370	371	371	372	373	374
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	3	6	11	16	19	22	23	21	20
	Forest		966	950	918	904	894	899	905	909	912	916	922	927
	Others		701	698	728	738	745	733	722	715	709	703	700	696
	Total		2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	1.30	0.91	0.90	1.12	1.48	1.70	1.90	2.21	2.52	2.88	3.33	4.44	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	0.00	0.00	0.18	0.01	0.00	-0.08	-0.15	-0.12	-0.09	-0.07	-0.06	-0.05	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
	Total CO2	GtC	1.30	0.91	1.08	1.13	1.47	1.63	1.75	2.10	2.43	2.81	3.27	4.38
	CH4 total	MtCH4	47	39	43	51	61	61	62	70	74	81	93	121	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	SOx total	MtS	17.0	11.0	11.3	12.8	14.0	14.3	14.4	12.9	16.9	22.5	20.8	12.4
	HFC	MtC eq.	0	4	8	19	29	31	32	33	33	34	33	31
	PFC	MtC eq.	7	4	5	8	14	20	21	22	23	24	25	24
	SF6	MtC eq.	8	6	8	10	14	18	21	19	15	14	10	11
	CO	MtCO	69	41	45	59	82	108	129	150	144	136	134	143
	NMVOC	Mt	16	13	15	19	25	31	36	43	45	44	37	32
	NOx	MtN	5	3	3	4	6	8	9	10	11	12	12	13
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
ASIA - A1C MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	2798	3261	3620	3937	4147	4238	4220	4085	3867	3589	3258	2882
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	1.5	2.7	5.8	13.5	27.2	44.9	65.3	95.8	126.9	155.5	186.5	218.2
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			5	8	13	23	36	52	70	97	127	155	187	218
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		24	16	12	8	5	3	2	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		19	36	53	69	75	62	48	42	39	34	29	19
	Liquids		13	23	39	59	93	143	199	259	281	292	295	262
	Gas		2	3	6	10	12	18	26	31	34	34	29	23
	Electricity		4	7	13	25	47	74	104	145	187	223	249	262
	Others		1	3	6	11	18	23	28	37	47	58	67	85
	Total		62	88	128	182	249	323	407	513	588	641	668	651
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		30	48	68	98	135	191	250	315	377	408	425	386
	Oil		15	26	40	54	72	81	80	86	62	40	25	17
	Gas		3	5	12	20	30	37	41	40	30	21	15	15
	Nuclear		0	1	3	8	20	34	54	83	125	159	175	174
	Biomass		24	22	27	34	44	58	77	97	116	134	143	142
	Other Renewables		1	3	6	10	18	27	37	54	69	80	89	101
	Total		74	105	156	226	319	427	538	676	778	842	871	834
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.3	0.8	1.5	2.5	3.8	5.7	8.2	11.3	15.3	19.7	24.1
	Oil		0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	1.4	2.1	2.9	3.7	4.6	5.2	5.6	5.8
	Gas		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.1	1.5	1.9	2.2	2.4	2.6
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	17.8	42.8	77.0	123.7	186.9	267.6	365.9	479.9	602.6	728.4	848.1
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM A1 marker run
	Cropland		438	435	434	433	432	431	431	430	429	428	428	428
	Grasslands		608	606	609	611	613	615	617	618	619	621	622	624
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	17	37	68	99	117	134	138	127	117
	Forest		535	522	512	524	535	535	535	544	552	556	555	555
	Others		583	601	609	579	547	515	483	456	429	421	431	441
	Total		2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	1.15	1.78	2.74	4.03	5.54	7.28	8.87	10.80	12.13	12.59	12.70	11.28	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	0.37	0.26	0.22	-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
	Total CO2	GtC	1.53	2.03	2.96	3.90	5.42	7.23	8.90	10.76	12.03	12.50	12.66	11.30
	CH4 total	MtCH4	113	125	152	186	231	252	275	274	283	278	277	260	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	2.3	2.6	2.4	2.4	2.5	2.6	2.6	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	SOx total	MtS	17.7	25.3	33.9	47.1	60.9	69.5	66.1	60.7	49.5	33.7	22.4	14.9
	HFC	MtC eq.	0	5	18	45	92	153	224	292	292	285	275	262
	PFC	MtC eq.	3	5	8	15	23	30	35	39	43	46	48	46
	SF6	MtC eq.	4	7	12	19	28	42	50	55	48	35	33	37
	CO	MtCO	235	270	348	463	621	855	1131	1414	1647	1821	1930	1778
	NMVOC	Mt	33	37	49	66	80	101	128	157	180	193	197	168
	NOx	MtN	7	9	12	17	24	32	40	48	52	56	60	58
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
ALM - A1C MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	1192	1519	1875	2241	2557	2791	2980	3089	3115	3064	2934	2727
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	1.9	2.7	4.4	9.8	20.0	34.3	53.5	76.5	98.7	122.5	147.2	173.1
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			4	5	8	13	23	37	55	76	99	122	147	173
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		14	10	7	8	5	4	3	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		1	5	9	7	11	16	24	26	21	20	15	7
	Liquids		17	23	34	53	78	107	150	193	233	251	274	289
	Gas		4	6	10	15	24	31	32	38	37	48	50	51
	Electricity		3	5	8	16	31	56	90	133	168	204	236	262
	Others		0	2	4	8	12	18	26	36	47	55	60	64
	Total		39	51	72	106	161	231	325	426	505	578	634	672
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		5	5	7	12	24	46	86	147	199	249	273	307
	Oil		21	31	39	50	60	63	71	70	71	47	34	23
	Gas		8	13	23	39	66	97	120	121	81	63	52	55
	Nuclear		0	0	0	2	7	15	27	46	73	118	166	191
	Biomass		14	14	18	26	38	56	75	99	133	150	162	171
	Other Renewables		2	4	7	12	19	30	46	65	79	92	99	102
	Total		49	67	94	141	214	307	425	547	636	718	786	849
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	1.0	1.7	2.8	4.1	5.6	7.4
	Oil		0.0	0.3	0.6	1.0	1.5	2.1	2.7	3.4	4.1	4.8	5.3	5.6
	Gas		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	1.5	2.5	3.6	4.8	5.6	6.1	6.6
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	16.4	35.5	57.4	85.3	122.8	173.1	238.0	312.6	392.6	476.9	567.1
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM A1 marker run
	Cropland		371	385	384	383	382	381	381	380	379	379	378	378
	Grasslands		1680	1673	1685	1695	1702	1708	1714	1718	1722	1726	1730	1733
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	42	90	165	240	282	324	333	308	284
	Forest		1745	1711	1690	1683	1680	1681	1682	1681	1680	1678	1676	1674
	Others		1684	1710	1720	1676	1625	1544	1463	1419	1374	1364	1387	1411
	Total		5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	0.72	1.01	1.40	2.01	2.97	4.09	5.65	7.09	7.62	8.20	8.53	9.42	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	0.73	0.82	0.60	0.36	0.25	0.19	0.14	0.12	0.10	0.08	0.06	0.03	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
	Total CO2	GtC	1.45	1.83	2.00	2.37	3.22	4.28	5.78	7.20	7.72	8.28	8.59	9.45
	CH4 total	MtCH4	77	85	97	114	134	155	178	184	169	167	145	126	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	1.2	1.3	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	SOx total	MtS	10.5	12.8	14.1	16.7	17.9	19.1	22.7	22.6	20.2	18.2	16.8	13.9
	HFC	MtC eq.	0	2	15	39	81	139	184	205	210	210	206	196
	PFC	MtC eq.	4	4	5	9	14	19	23	26	28	30	31	30
	SF6	MtC eq.	3	5	10	14	19	32	40	42	37	23	24	26
	CO	MtCO	396	404	438	476	550	654	798	953	1160	1323	1437	1564
	NMVOC	Mt	48	55	65	73	83	94	111	120	124	128	132	138
	NOx	MtN	7	8	10	12	16	22	29	37	41	44	46	52
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data