IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1 (July, 2000)
World - A1 MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	5262	6117	6888	7617	8182	8531	8704	8667	8463	8125	7658	7056
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	20.9	26.7	37.9	56.5	89.1	135.2	181.3	247.6	313.8	383.3	455.9	528.5
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			26	33	47	67	97	139	181	241	304	372	443	514
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		38	28	22	16	10	7	5	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		42	58	59	67	73	70	48	35	29	26	24	15
	Liquids		111	125	160	204	254	303	357	396	403	365	308	254
	Gas		41	48	67	85	104	135	164	199	210	202	158	96
	Electricity		35	47	70	107	164	232	311	414	536	647	745	859
	Others		8	10	20	38	58	84	122	169	234	320	422	525
	Total		275	316	398	517	662	830	1005	1213	1413	1560	1657	1749
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		91	105	120	157	194	227	210	182	192	213	200	192
	Oil		128	155	172	198	225	250	281	333	326	253	184	138
	Gas		71	85	128	178	250	320	378	445	482	456	398	350
	Nuclear		7	9	12	19	34	55	84	126	185	247	306	358
	Biomass		46	47	63	87	120	155	204	251	315	394	438	475
	Other Renewables		8	13	29	52	78	134	240	371	534	730	945	1172
	Total		352	415	524	689	901	1141	1397	1707	2035	2292	2472	2683
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.9	2.0	3.2	4.8	6.7	9.0	11.1	12.9	14.8	17.0	19.0
	Oil		0.0	1.4	3.0	4.7	6.7	8.9	11.4	14.2	17.6	20.8	23.4	25.2
	Gas		0.0	0.7	1.6	2.9	4.7	7.1	10.3	14.1	18.6	23.4	28.0	31.9
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	75.3	162.0	262.8	383.6	528.0	688.0	859.3	1041.9	1224.6	1390.9	1537.3
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM A1 marker run
	Cropland		1459	1466	1462	1457	1454	1448	1442	1436	1429	1424	1422	1420
	Grasslands		3389	3404	3429	3446	3458	3478	3498	3525	3552	3568	3572	3576
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	74	158	288	418	492	566	581	538	495
	Forest		4296	4237	4173	4164	4164	4177	4190	4194	4199	4202	4203	4204
	Others		3805	3842	3886	3807	3715	3558	3400	3301	3203	3173	3213	3253
	Total		12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949	12949
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	5.99	6.90	8.31	10.56	13.21	15.51	16.47	17.84	18.73	17.86	15.46	13.83	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	1.11	1.07	1.04	0.26	0.12	0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
	Total CO2	GtC	7.10	7.97	9.36	10.81	13.33	15.56	16.45	17.81	18.70	17.83	15.44	13.83
	CH4 total	MtCH4	310	323	362	418	486	517	531	502	477	451	400	347	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	6.7	7.0	6.1	6.1	6.2	6.3	6.3	6.2	6.1	6.0	5.9	5.8	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	SOx total	MtS	70.9	69.0	65.8	62.2	61.8	59.6	49.4	45.4	43.2	40.4	35.9	31.4
	CFC/HFC/HCFC	MtC eq.	1672	883	791	337	369	482	566	654	659	654	639	614
	PFC	MtC eq.	32	25	31	43	61	77	89	97	106	114	119	115
	SF6	MtC eq.	38	40	43	48	66	99	119	127	113	88	84	95
	CO	MtCO	879	877	1022	1218	1412	1659	1925	2173	2380	2548	2568	2532
	NMVOC	Mt	139	141	164	194	211	235	259	282	276	234	188	137
	NOx	MtN	31	32	39	50	60	71	80	90	95	90	81	74
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
OECD90 - A1 MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	859	919	965	1007	1043	1069	1081	1084	1089	1098	1108	1110
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	16.4	20.5	25.3	31.0	38.0	46.1	54.1	65.5	76.9	90.3	105.7	121.1
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			14	18	22	27	33	40	47	57	67	79	93	107
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		13	13	7	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Liquids		66	68	73	78	77	75	70	67	55	45	36	27
	Gas		22	28	35	40	44	44	43	41	40	36	24	12
	Electricity		22	28	38	50	62	70	81	97	117	132	150	172
	Others		1	1	4	9	12	17	24	34	50	70	93	109
	Total		124	138	157	180	197	207	218	240	262	282	303	320
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		38	36	39	42	44	32	20	11	6	5	3	2
	Oil		72	82	79	80	75	67	58	55	43	35	28	25
	Gas		33	45	60	76	87	96	97	107	118	118	108	113
	Nuclear		6	7	9	10	14	20	27	38	48	56	60	59
	Biomass		6	9	14	20	27	34	42	44	44	40	41	52
	Other Renewables		4	6	12	16	22	35	59	81	114	156	211	246
	Total		159	184	210	243	269	283	303	335	372	409	450	497
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.4	0.7	1.1	1.5	2.0	2.3	2.5	2.6	2.7	2.7	2.7
	Oil		0.0	0.8	1.6	2.4	3.2	3.9	4.6	5.2	5.7	6.2	6.5	6.8
	Gas		0.0	0.4	0.8	1.4	2.2	3.0	4.0	5.0	6.0	7.2	8.4	9.5
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	30.1	63.4	99.6	137.7	174.0	205.5	234.1	261.8	288.1	311.7	333.4
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM A1 marker run
	Cropland		381	380	377	376	375	372	368	364	359	356	356	355
	Grasslands		760	763	771	774	776	787	797	818	839	849	847	846
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	11	24	44	63	74	86	88	81	75
	Forest		1050	1053	1052	1053	1056	1062	1068	1061	1054	1050	1049	1048
	Others		838	833	828	814	798	765	733	712	691	685	695	705
	Total		3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029	3029
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	2.83	3.20	3.43	3.76	3.84	3.44	2.94	2.82	2.66	2.49	2.15	2.14	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	0.05	0.06	0.04	0.01	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
	Total CO2	GtC	2.83	3.20	3.46	3.78	3.83	3.41	2.89	2.83	2.71	2.55	2.18	2.15
	CH4 total	MtCH4	73	74	71	71	71	68	65	63	63	63	62	63	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	2.6	2.6	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.2	2.2	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	SOx total	MtS	22.7	17.0	9.7	3.7	2.3	1.5	1.1	2.2	2.0	2.7	3.1	4.4
	HFC	MtC eq.	19	58	110	108	115	118	122	123	123	124	125	125
	PFC	MtC eq.	18	13	13	11	9	8	9	10	12	13	14	16
	SF6	MtC eq.	23	23	14	5	6	7	9	11	13	16	18	20
	CO	MtCO	179	161	194	218	217	217	214	206	200	186	149	151
	NMVOC	Mt	42	36	39	41	37	33	28	27	25	21	14	9
	NOx	MtN	13	12	14	16	16	15	14	13	13	12	11	11
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
REF - A1 MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	413	419	427	433	435	433	423	409	392	374	357	339
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	1.1	0.8	1.5	2.9	5.3	8.8	12.4	16.2	20.0	24.4	29.3	34.2
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			3	2	3	4	6	9	12	16	20	24	29	34
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		9	5	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Liquids		15	10	10	10	11	10	11	10	10	11	15	21
	Gas		14	11	15	17	20	26	29	33	32	25	16	7
	Electricity		6	6	7	10	14	20	27	32	38	45	51	56
	Others		7	6	7	10	12	15	17	17	19	23	26	28
	Total		50	38	42	50	59	72	85	92	99	103	108	112
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		19	15	12	14	17	30	32	26	13	8	17	19
	Oil		20	15	13	12	12	12	12	13	13	9	7	5
	Gas		27	22	30	32	38	42	50	67	81	79	63	53
	Nuclear		1	1	1	1	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
	Biomass		2	1	1	2	3	5	8	10	14	21	32	47
	Other Renewables		1	1	2	4	6	9	16	19	26	37	49	55
	Total		70	54	58	64	77	99	121	138	151	160	173	187
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.7	1.0	1.4	1.7	1.8	1.9	2.1
	Oil		0.0	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.7	0.8	0.9	1.1	1.2	1.3	1.4
	Gas		0.0	0.3	0.5	0.8	1.1	1.5	1.9	2.4	3.1	3.9	4.7	5.3
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	11.0	21.0	31.4	41.9	54.7	69.5	85.4	101.6	116.5	130.3	143.3
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM A1 marker run
	Cropland		268	266	265	265	265	264	263	262	262	261	260	260
	Grasslands		341	361	364	366	367	368	370	371	371	372	373	374
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	3	6	11	16	19	22	23	21	20
	Forest		966	950	918	904	894	899	905	909	912	916	922	927
	Others		701	698	728	738	745	733	722	715	709	703	700	696
	Total		2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276	2276
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	1.30	0.91	0.91	0.96	1.14	1.50	1.67	1.79	1.65	1.49	1.41	1.31	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	0.00	0.00	0.18	0.01	0.00	-0.08	-0.15	-0.12	-0.09	-0.07	-0.06	-0.05	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
	Total CO2	GtC	1.30	0.91	1.09	0.97	1.14	1.42	1.52	1.67	1.56	1.42	1.35	1.25
	CH4 total	MtCH4	47	39	44	48	55	58	58	62	60	53	46	40	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	SOx total	MtS	17.0	11.0	7.5	4.7	3.0	3.9	3.9	3.2	2.6	2.7	2.7	1.8
	HFC	MtC eq.	0	4	8	19	29	31	32	33	33	34	33	31
	PFC	MtC eq.	7	4	5	8	14	20	21	22	23	24	25	24
	SF6	MtC eq.	8	6	8	10	14	18	21	19	15	14	10	11
	CO	MtCO	69	41	53	61	79	112	151	157	152	128	97	65
	NMVOC	Mt	16	13	16	20	25	33	41	47	48	42	34	23
	NOx	MtN	5	3	3	4	5	7	8	9	10	9	8	8
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
ASIA - A1 MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	2798	3261	3620	3937	4147	4238	4220	4085	3867	3589	3258	2882
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	1.5	2.7	5.8	12.3	26.2	44.5	62.7	91.9	121.0	150.0	178.6	207.3
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			5	8	14	22	35	52	68	93	121	150	179	207
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		24	17	13	8	4	3	2	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		19	36	41	51	59	54	33	26	27	24	22	14
	Liquids		13	20	27	47	69	95	122	140	143	134	114	106
	Gas		2	3	7	10	14	22	39	64	73	75	62	37
	Electricity		4	7	12	24	42	67	97	136	186	231	271	318
	Others		1	2	4	10	16	25	37	54	77	107	144	182
	Total		62	85	105	150	204	266	330	420	505	570	613	655
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		30	48	57	79	99	120	114	104	120	126	105	87
	Oil		15	24	28	40	57	71	80	93	77	56	43	41
	Gas		3	5	12	22	37	54	81	109	116	112	96	74
	Nuclear		0	1	1	4	8	15	26	44	71	102	138	173
	Biomass		24	22	27	35	48	64	82	106	133	156	158	163
	Other Renewables		1	3	6	14	23	42	75	122	179	239	308	391
	Total		74	102	131	193	272	366	459	578	697	791	849	928
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.3	0.8	1.4	2.2	3.2	4.4	5.5	6.5	7.7	9.0	10.1
	Oil		0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.1	1.7	2.4	3.2	4.1	4.9	5.4	5.9
	Gas		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.3	2.2	3.2	4.4	5.5	6.5
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	17.8	40.2	67.9	104.7	153.3	210.3	271.8	337.0	403.5	464.5	516.7
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM A1 marker run
	Cropland		438	435	434	433	432	431	431	430	429	428	428	428
	Grasslands		608	606	609	611	613	615	617	618	619	621	622	624
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	17	37	68	99	117	134	138	127	117
	Forest		535	522	512	524	535	535	535	544	552	556	555	555
	Others		583	601	609	579	547	515	483	456	429	421	431	441
	Total		2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164	2164
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	1.15	1.78	2.22	3.23	4.39	5.49	5.93	6.38	6.78	6.70	5.63	4.85	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	0.37	0.26	0.22	-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
	Total CO2	GtC	1.53	2.03	2.44	3.10	4.27	5.44	5.96	6.35	6.69	6.61	5.59	4.86
	CH4 total	MtCH4	113	125	148	180	220	230	237	213	194	179	161	143	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	2.3	2.6	2.4	2.4	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.3	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	SOx total	MtS	17.7	25.3	27.2	29.7	31.4	30.2	20.9	16.8	15.4	14.3	12.9	11.9
	HFC	MtC eq.	0	5	18	45	92	153	224	292	292	285	275	262
	PFC	MtC eq.	3	5	8	15	23	30	35	39	43	46	48	46
	SF6	MtC eq.	4	7	12	19	28	42	50	55	48	35	33	37
	CO	MtCO	235	270	316	413	544	660	776	906	960	1001	968	910
	NMVOC	Mt	33	37	40	51	59	66	73	85	79	73	62	42
	NOx	MtN	7	9	11	15	19	24	28	32	34	33	30	26
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
ALM - A1 MESSAGE			1990	2000	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
Population		Million	1192	1519	1875	2241	2557	2791	2980	3089	3115	3064	2934	2727
GNP/GDP (mex)		Trillion US$	1.9	2.7	5.3	10.3	19.5	35.8	52.0	73.9	95.8	118.6	142.3	165.9
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)			4	5	9	14	22	38	54	74	96	119	142	166
Final Energy		EJ
	Non-commercial		14	11	9	8	5	4	3	0	0	0	0	0
	Solids		1	5	7	10	11	14	14	9	3	2	2	2
	Liquids		17	27	50	68	98	122	153	180	196	175	144	100
	Gas		4	6	11	18	25	43	53	61	66	67	56	40
	Electricity		3	6	12	24	47	75	106	150	195	239	274	314
	Others		0	1	4	9	17	27	45	63	89	121	159	206
	Total		39	55	93	138	203	285	373	463	548	604	634	662
Primary Energy		EJ
	Coal		5	7	14	22	35	46	44	41	53	74	76	83
	Oil		21	35	53	67	81	100	131	172	194	154	106	67
	Gas		8	14	26	49	88	128	150	163	168	148	131	110
	Nuclear		0	0	1	4	10	18	28	40	61	83	101	118
	Biomass		14	15	22	30	41	53	72	91	124	176	207	213
	Other Renewables		2	3	10	18	27	48	90	148	215	298	377	480
	Total		49	74	125	190	283	394	514	656	815	932	999	1071
Cumulative Resources Use		ZJ
	Coal		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.8	1.3	1.7	2.1	2.6	3.3	4.0
	Oil		0.0	0.3	0.6	1.1	1.8	2.6	3.6	4.9	6.7	8.6	10.1	11.2
	Gas		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.9	3.1	4.6	6.3	7.9	9.4	10.7
Cumulative CO2 Emissions		GtC	0.0	16.4	37.3	63.9	99.2	146.0	202.7	268.0	341.5	416.5	484.4	543.9
Carbon Sequestraction		GtC
Land Use		Million ha													Land-use taken from AIM A1 marker run
	Cropland		371	385	384	383	382	381	381	380	379	379	378	378
	Grasslands		1680	1673	1685	1695	1702	1708	1714	1718	1722	1726	1730	1733
	Energy Biomass		0	0	0	42	90	165	240	282	324	333	308	284
	Forest		1745	1711	1690	1683	1680	1681	1682	1681	1680	1678	1676	1674
	Others		1684	1710	1720	1676	1625	1544	1463	1419	1374	1364	1387	1411
	Total		5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480	5480
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
	Fossil Fuel CO2	GtC	0.72	1.01	1.76	2.61	3.84	5.09	5.93	6.86	7.63	7.18	6.27	5.53	CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
	Other CO2	GtC	0.73	0.82	0.60	0.36	0.25	0.19	0.14	0.12	0.10	0.08	0.06	0.03	CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
	Total CO2	GtC	1.45	1.83	2.36	2.96	4.09	5.28	6.07	6.98	7.73	7.26	6.32	5.56
	CH4 total	MtCH4	77	85	99	119	141	162	171	165	160	155	131	100	Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	N2O total	MtN2O-N	1.2	1.3	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.8	0.8	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.6	Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
	SOx total	MtS	10.5	12.8	18.5	21.1	22.2	21.0	20.6	20.1	20.2	17.7	14.2	10.4
	HFC	MtC eq.	0	2	15	39	81	139	184	205	210	210	206	196
	PFC	MtC eq.	4	4	5	9	14	19	23	26	28	30	31	30
	SF6	MtC eq.	3	5	10	14	19	32	40	42	37	23	24	26
	CO	MtCO	396	404	459	526	572	670	785	904	1069	1233	1353	1405
	NMVOC	Mt	48	55	68	82	90	102	117	124	124	98	78	63
	NOx	MtN	7	8	11	15	20	25	30	36	38	36	33	30
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data